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a Landcare Research, Private Bag 11052, Palmerston North, New Zealand
b Landcare Research, P.O. Box 69, Lincoln, New Zealand
* Corresponding author (SparlingG{at}LandcareResearch.co.nz)
Received for publication February 13, 2002.
| ABSTRACT |
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Abbreviations: NSD, National Soils Database
| INTRODUCTION |
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Equilibrium organic C contents in soils vary depending on the climate, soil type, mineralogy, land use, and management (Spain et al., 1983; Eswaran et al., 1993; Batjes, 1996; Percival et al., 2000). For a given soil, the greatest amount of organic matter generally accumulates in the topsoil under long-term undisturbed vegetation, typically grassland or forest. Loss of organic C is generally regarded as undesirable, although Sojka and Upchurch (1999) point out that low soil C contents can also have some unexpected benefits for agricultural use, such as the potential to reduce soil pesticide application rates due to lower sorption. It is well established that many forms of soil management can lead to changes in organic C concentrations, and the C contents of cropped and tilled soils are usually (but not always) lower than the equivalent soils under long-term grassland or forest (Wander and Bollero, 1999; Brejda et al., 2000a, b). The declines under more intensive forms of agriculture occur because there is increased loss of topsoil through erosion, decreased organic C returns from plant residues, and enhanced breakdown of previously stabilized soil organic matter (Carter and Gregorich, 1996; Reeves, 1997).
In many cases when organic matter is lost from soil, it declines in a curvilinear way (e.g., Haynes and Tregurtha, 1999; Sparling et al., 2000a). There is no clear "critical" C content, and related soil properties change along a continuum (Karlen et al., 2001). The land manager may continue to work the land profitably by "farming smarter" with improved tillage, more timely cultivation, tolerant cultivars, and strategic use of agrochemicals and irrigation (Sojka and Upchurch, 1999). Under such conditions it is very difficult to define a desirable C content, but this needs to be done before low profitability forces a change to an alternative land use (Francis and Knight, 1993; Scrimgeour and Shepherd, 1998).
For soil organic matter to be a useful soil quality indicator, as advocated by many authors (e.g., Doran et al., 1994; Wander and Bollero, 1999; Brejda et al., 2000a,b), some target value for organic C needs to be specified, even when soil C contents change along a continuum. It can be argued that "more is better" in terms of C sequestration, a stance justified by the contribution to decreased C emissions required by the Kyoto protocol (Lal, 2001). However, the "more is better" argument is weaker when applied to agricultural productivity, where the benefits of higher organic matter contents on intensively managed arable soils are sometimes obscure (Sojka and Upchurch, 1999). Organic matter equilibrium levels obtained from long-term grass pasture or forestry may not be attainable targets for intensively managed arable soils even under the best management practices. Rather than defining an maximum value, it would be much more informative for agricultural systems to define a justifiable minimum soil C below which there would be loss of desirable soil characteristics, productive capacity, and ecological functions that were not readily restored within an acceptable timeframe.
In the absence of a clear critical point and demonstrable ecological consequence, the setting of soil quality targets within a continuum requires human value judgments. The intergenerational equity argumentthat future generations have a right to benefit from the earth's resources, and that the current generation does not have the right to deplete a resource irreversiblymay also be relevant (Williams, 1997). Such judgments are controversial and remain under discussion (Karlen et al., 1997, 2001; Okrent, 1999; Sojka and Upchurch, 1999).
In this paper we examine three approaches to derive minimum desirable C contents in soils. The three approaches are independent, based on (i) statistical data from national soil surveys, (ii) the rates of organic C loss and recovery predicted by the CENTURY model within time scales relevant for intergenerational equity, and (iii) the opinion of an expert panel of New Zealand soil scientists. We applied these three approaches to four major soil orders in New Zealand (Hewitt, 1998) and compared the similarities or divergence between the values obtained. We emphasize that, at this stage, it is the approaches we are examining, and not the precise numerical values they produced. For the basis of our calculations we made some arbitrary choices regarding the C targets and timeframe and we accept that other targets and time scales could be applied. We seek feedback on the acceptability and interpretation of the three approaches, and invite suggestions for defensible alternative methods.
| MATERIALS AND METHODS |
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Statistical Approach
Pasture soils (some 77% of the dataset) were selected from the New Zealand National Soils Database (NSD) (Hewitt, 1998). The samples (from soil pits) were originally described in soil surveys because they were representative of particular soil profiles. All soil orders are represented in the database, with descriptive information for each soil horizon and a varying amount of analytical data.
Four contrasting orders meeting the selection criteria were the Recent (nearest equivalent in USDA Soil Taxonomy: Endoaquept), Granular (nearest equivalent: Haplohumult), Melanic (nearest equivalent: Haplustoll), and Allophanic (nearest equivalent: Hapludand). Some topsoil characteristics of the orders are shown in Table 1. Median and lower quartile values were calculated for the C content of each order. The profile information for C content, bulk density, and horizon depth was grouped by soil order and spline curves fitted to the horizon data to enable C mass from the 0- to 20-cm depth to be derived (Bishop et al., 1999). Granular (n = 5) and Melanic soils (n = 7) were poorly represented in the database, and statistical values for these orders are less robust than for Recent (n = 31) and Allophanic soils (n = 31).
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After simulating the C content under continuous (50 yr) legumegrass pasture to establish the maximum equilibrium level, the model was then changed to the scenario of a cropping regime of 25 yr of continuous maize, and the change in C pools recorded (Fig. 1) . Where the initial rate of C decline under the cropping phase was slow, the cropping phase was extended as required until the C level had declined below the 80% value. The rates of recovery after cropping were calculated by simulating a return to continuous pasture. Simulations were run for each soil order, with minimal changes to the input parameters. The equilibrium C contents under long-term pasture were used as the "maximum" C contents of each order. The target C content was defined as 80% of the maximum pasture C content. Lower C limits were estimated by modeling the minimum C content that still permitted recovery to the 80% target value within 25 yr.
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Expert Panel Approach
Our approach generally followed the methodology of Smith (1990), where the opinion of an expert panel was used to derive response curves and to define critical limits for environmental monitoring. Differences were that Smith (1990) used the Delphi method with anonymous participants communicating by mail, whereas we convened an intensive 2-d workshop and the group of 24 scientists was free to interact through a professional facilitator (Sparling and Tarbotton, 2000). The individuals in the group were asked to estimate soil quality score against the organic C contents for different soil orders using separate criteria for production and environmental risk. The definition of soil quality was that used by the Soil Science Society of America (1995): "the capacity of a specific soil to function, within natural or managed ecosystem boundaries, to sustain plant and animal productivity, maintain or enhance water and air quality, and support human health and habitation." This definition was used to derive production and environmental criteria for the expert panel to consider. Production criteria used in the workshops were agricultural productivity (e.g., plant dry matter, milk solids, saw logs), maximum economic yield, farm profitability, and impacts on the rural economy, all occurring on-site and within a short (<5 yr) time frame. No specific minima or maxima were defined. Environmental criteria, occurring both on- and off-site, were risks to air quality (including C sequestration), risk to water quality (surface and ground), loss of habitat, amenity, loss of diversity of indigenous species, invasions by weeds and pests, and contaminant accumulation occurring over a 25 yr (or longer) time frame. Again, no specific values for these criteria were defined.
After display and group discussion, individuals had the opportunity to redraw their response curves (nominal group technique). Some group members declined to draw curves, or more commonly, only drew those parts of curves where they felt confident. The individual curves or part-curves were converted to numeric values, and means and standard deviation calculated. An example of the response curve applicable to a Recent soil is shown in Fig. 2 . From the response curve, a soil quality value of 90% was taken as the cut-off point to calculate the organic C content below which soil quality was considered to decline. Values were converted to Mg ha-1 to a depth of 20 cm using the factors previously derived for the NSD data.
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| RESULTS |
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The lower C limits were calculated by matching the rates of depletion under a continuous cropping phase with the subsequent recovery under permanent pasture. An example of the changes in C contents of the Recent soil under the different regimes is given in Fig. 1. The minimum C contents that still allowed recovery to the 80% target over a further 25 yr were 55, 54, 67, and 104 Mg ha-1 for the Recent, Granular, Melanic, and Allophanic soils, respectively. With the exception of the Granular soil, these values were very similar to the statistical lower quartile values from the NSD (Table 2).
There were also marked differences in the predicted rates of accumulation of C for the four orders (Table 2). Accumulation over the 25-yr period was most rapid in the Granular and Melanic soils (21 and 15 Mg ha-1, respectively) and much less in the Recent and Allophanic soils (9 and 4 Mg ha-1, respectively).
Expert Panel Opinion
The panel opinion was that the C content of the various soils could be allowed to go much lower than lower limits suggested by the CENTURY model or the NSD lower quartile values, without seriously compromising production or causing adverse environmental consequences (Table 2). When expressing these opinions the panel members were not formally aware of the NSD lower quartile or the CENTURY model outputs. There was consistent opinion (small standard deviation) about a high soil quality ranking at high organic matter contents, but much greater variation in opinion (larger standard deviation) about the relationship between soil quality and organic matter content at lower organic C contents. Figure 2 shows the data for the Recent soils; similar patterns were obtained for the three other orders. The panel considered C contents as low as 20 Mg ha-1 acceptable for production purposes. When environmental rather than production criteria were included, the recommended lower C limits were approximately double those of the production criteria (Table 2).
| DISCUSSION |
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As anticipated from their different textures and mineralogy, the four soils showed marked differences in C storage and dynamics. The greater amount of C storage in Allophanic soils is well-known (Goh, 1980; Eswaran et al., 1993; Batjes, 1996) and is generally attributed to the presence of allophane clay and ferrihydrite, which stabilize organic matter. Ross et al. (1982) noted comparatively little decrease in C contents of an Allophanic soil under long-term maize cropping, and Saggar et al. (1996) attributed the slower rate of organic matter decomposition in Allophanic soils to the high reactive surface area of allophane clays. Percival et al. (2000) found that a combination of pyrophosphate extractableAl and allophane content explained a large proportion of the variability in organic C contents in New Zealand pasture soils, with a smaller additional contribution from extractable-Fe and clay contents.
The equilibrium C contents predicted by the CENTURY model for long-term pastures were very similar to the median for that soil order calculated from the New Zealand NSD. The good agreement was encouraging given that the CENTURY model was not initially developed for New Zealand conditions. An unexpected similarity was the agreement between the lower quartile value from the NSD and the lower C limit predicted by the CENTURY model (Granular soil excepted). The similarity may be fortuitous and coincidental. Other statistical limits (e.g., decile 10%) or a different intergenerational span could also be used, in which case the agreement would not be so good. The basis for using any statistical value to define outliers or target values depends on the representativeness of the sample population. The NSD data were collected by targeted sampling at sites of particular interest for soil survey, and are not claimed to be a spatially random subset or a regular grid. However, when Tate et al. (2001) compared NSD soil C contents of volcanic soils against a new set selected using random spatial sampling, the two sets did not differ significantly. The NSD does therefore appear to be representative of C contents of New Zealand soils, at least for the volcanic order (which includes the Allophanic soils).
A lower C limit can be justified in terms of maintaining soil C contents for future generations of land users. The argument would be that the soils could potentially be restored to the target value within a 25-yr period, and hence would not be open to the accusation of depleting the resource for the next human generation, and so maintaining intergenerational equity. This reflects an ethical stance, rather than an environmental or production argument. As well as failing the equity argument, low-C soils have a greater risk of structural degradation (Soane, 1990; Reeves, 1997; Shepherd et al., 2001) and lower profits (Scrimgeour and Shepherd, 1998). Lower organic C contents on cropping farms required greater inputs for tillage, more critical timing, and greater use of fertilizers (Scrimgeour and Shepherd, 1998). Despite this, the expert panel clearly felt that low C contents were tolerable, and that farm profitability would be adequate to meet any higher production and management costs resulting from lower soil C contents. That view is substantiated by the numerous examples of Granular (Haynes and Tregurtha, 1999), Recent (Shepherd et al., 2001), and Melanic soils (Sparling et al., 2000a, b) with C contents below the so-called lower limit, that are still used for arable cropping in New Zealand. A similar point about low-C soils still being productive under appropriate management is made by Sojka and Upchurch (1999) for cropland soils in the USA.
We are currently using provisional C target figures to interpret data on soil C contents under different land uses (Lilburne et al., 2002). In the absence of good data for modeling, the target figures were derived using the statistical and expert opinion approaches only. However, even these basic targets have been useful to quantify soil and land use combinations of concern and to assist with land management policy and state of the environment reporting (Sparling and Schipper, 2002). The targets for desirable C contents will continue to be refined as better data or other methods become available.
Resistance and Resilience
The C contents and the time taken for the decline and recovery in organic C provide a measure of the resistance and resilience characteristics of soils (Greenland and Szabolcs, 1994; Lal, 1994, Seybold et al., 1999). The NSD data for long-term pastures showed that Allophanic soils have the greatest C contents, suggesting the soils have a resistance ranking (to C loss) of Allophanic > Melanic > Granular > Recent. On the basis of the time taken to be depleted to the 80% target, as modeled by CENTURY, the soils had the ranking Allophanic >> Recent = Melanic > Granular. Based on the minimum C content, the order was Allophanic > Melanic > Granular = Recent. This general pattern, with Allophanic soils consistently having high resistance to C loss, is similar to the structural resistance ranking of Allophanic > Granular > Melanic > Recent found by Shepherd et al. (2001). Both C loss and structural degradation methods agree that Allophanic soils are the most resistant, but differed particularly in the ranking of the Granular order. Granular soils are known to maintain good structural stability even when C is lost, because they contain large amounts of Al and Fe oxides and hydroxides (Parfitt et al., 1997). These minerals contribute to stable soil aggregates (Shepherd et al., 2001), and this characteristic could explain the different position of the Granular soil in the resistance rankings.
Carbon Sequestration
Increased storage of C as soil organic matter is now advocated as a means whereby nations could decrease gaseous C emissions and lower greenhouse gas concentrations.
In countries such as the USA, with large areas of croplands with low soil organic C, there is the potential for large amounts of storage (Paustian et al., 1997; Lal, 2001). Projects such as Conservation Reserves, no-till systems, residue retention, and rotations provide management options to enhance and maintain soil organic matter contents (Karlen et al., 1998). However, even with these measures, recovery of C contents in depleted soils can be slow (Karlen et al., 1998; Baer et al., 2000). Approaches such as those suggested here may be useful to identify soils most suitable for rapid C incorporation and storage.
| CONCLUSIONS |
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The statistical approach was useful to identify maximum desirable C contents, provided a representative set of soils is available. Our preference is not to use a statistical approach to set lower limits. Lower quartiles as used in this study were an arbitrary choice and did not have any ecological basis, despite the reasonable agreement with the modeling predictions. Further, setting lower C contents at the lower quartile means, by definition, that 25% of the sample will fall below that limit, even if the actual C content is not depleted.
To supplement modeling and statistical data, the judgements from expert panels can be used. Panel opinions have the advantage being able to integrating existing scientific knowledge, personal experience, anecdotal evidence, and informed guesses. However, in the absence of hard evidence, panel decisions may be difficult to justify and open to challenge from opposing opinion.
We have used statistical and expert opinion approaches to define provisional target C contents for a limited number of soils and land uses in New Zealand. This has enabled us to identify soil and land use combinations outside the target ranges that can be used for land management advice and state of the environment reporting.
| ACKNOWLEDGMENTS |
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| REFERENCES |
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G. P. Sparling, D. Wheeler, E.-T. Vesely, and L. A. Schipper What is Soil Organic Matter Worth? J. Environ. Qual., March 1, 2006; 35(2): 548 - 557. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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