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a USEPA, 27 Tarzwell Drive, Narragansett, RI 02882
b Indus Corp., Corvallis, OR 97333
c Computer Sciences Corp., Narragansett, RI 02882
* Corresponding author (paul.john{at}epa.gov)
Received for publication January 8, 2001. In a previously published study, quantitative relationships were developed between landscape metrics and sediment contamination for 25 small estuarine systems within Chesapeake Bay. These analyses have been extended to include 75 small estuarine systems across the mid-Atlantic and southern New England regions of the USA. Because of the different characteristics and dynamics of the estuaries across these regions, adjustment for differing hydrology, sediment characteristics, and sediment origins were included in the analysis. Multiple linear regression with stepwise selection was used to develop statistical models for sediment metals, organics, and total polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs). The landscape metrics important for explaining the variation in sediment metals levels (R2 = 0.72) were the percent area of nonforested wetlands (negative contribution), percent area of urban land, and point source effluent volume and metals input (positive contributions). The metrics important for sediment organics levels (R2 = 0.5) and total PAHs (R2 = 0.46) were percent area of urban land (positive contribution) and percent area of nonforested wetlands (negative contribution). These models included siltclay content (metals) or total organic C (organics, total PAHs) of sediments and grouping by estuarine hydrology, suggesting the importance of sediment characteristics and hydrology in mitigating the influence of the landscape metrics on sediment contamination levels. The overall results from this study are indicative of how statistical models can be developed relating landscape metrics to estuarine sediment contamination for distributions of land cover and point source discharges.
Abbreviations: ANOVA, analysis of variance CV, coefficient of variation DEM, digital elevation model EMAP, Environmental Monitoring and Assessment Program GIS, geographic information system LUDA, land use data analysis MLRSS, multiple linear regression with stepwise selection NOAA, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration PAH, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon PC1, first principal component PC2, second principal component PCA, principal component analysis PCB, polychlorinated biphenyl TOC, total organic carbon USEPA, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency USGS, U.S. Geological Survey VIF, variance inflation factor
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J. W. Hollister, P. V. August, J. F. Paul, and H. A. Walker Predicting Estuarine Sediment Metal Concentrations and Inferred Ecological Conditions: An Information Theoretic Approach J. Environ. Qual., January 4, 2008; 37(1): 234 - 244. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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